Russian Cup, round 5 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Arena Khimki
Spartak Kostroma — FC Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Spartak Kostroma to win (40%), came true.
Spartak Kostroma are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Kostroma — FC Chelyabinsk What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Spartak Kostroma not to lose | 67% | |
| FC Chelyabinsk not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Spartak Kostroma
- Spartak Kostroma goals
- FC Chelyabinsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Russian Cup on the same day
- 5624201The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 841151The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 4:0.3.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →