Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Luís Alfonso Giagni
Sportivo Trinidense — Luqueño
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3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Sportivo Trinidense to win (62%), came true.
Sportivo Trinidense are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sportivo Trinidense are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense — Luqueño What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Sportivo Trinidense not to lose | 85% | |
| Luqueño not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Sportivo Trinidense
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- Luqueño goals
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Form
- 27.09Cerro Porteño2:1
- 18.09Guaraní0:1
- 13.09away · Recoleta3:1
- 06.09Olimpia1:2
- 02.09away · Sportivo Ameliano3:0
- 25.09Guaraní0:1
- 21.09Recoleta1:0
- 13.09away · Olimpia0:3
- 07.09Sportivo Ameliano1:2
- 02.09away · 2 de Mayo2:2
Head to head
- 29.07.2026Luqueño — Sportivo Trinidense1:4
- 25.04.2026Luqueño — Sportivo Trinidense2:1
- 26.02.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Luqueño1:1
- 17.10.2025Luqueño — Sportivo Trinidense1:0
- 02.08.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Luqueño2:0
Next matches
- Sportivo San LorenzoSportivo Trinidense10 October · Paraguayan Primera1121682The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:3.2.3
- LuqueñoCerro Porteño11 October · Paraguayan Primera2128512The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 2626472The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:3.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →