Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Xorazm — Buxoro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Buxoro are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Buxoro are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Xorazm — Buxoro What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 56% | |
| Buxoro not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Xorazm
- Xorazm goals
- Buxoro goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
- 10.09Sogdiana0:0
- 03.09away · AGMK0:1
- 25.08away · Andijon0:1
- 09.10Andijon3:2
- 19.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09Navbahor Namangan1:4
- 05.09away · Qizilqum Zarafshon2:3
- 24.08away · Kokand 19121:1
Head to head
- 11.03.2026Buxoro — Xorazm1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →