Swiss National League (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, 17:45 (UTC+3)

Ambri-Piotta — Lausanne

Model prediction for 15 November

Ambri-Piotta45%

Draw in regulation21%

Lausanne33%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ambri-Piotta are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

Ambri-Piotta are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

League table: Ambri-Piotta — No. 2, 33 pts; Lausanne — No. 8, 26 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Ambri-Piotta 1 win, Lausanne 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ambri-Piotta — Lausanne		2.9–2.5
Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout)		57%
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)		43%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		49%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Ambri-Piotta
Ambri-Piotta goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Ambri-Piotta

31.10Lugano4:3
30.10away · Zurich3:4 SO
27.10Biel4:3 SO
24.10Ajoie3:0
23.10away · Rapperswil-Jona3:6

Lausanne

31.10Davos3:2 OT
29.10away · Lugano0:4
27.10Langnau Tigers3:9
24.10Fribourg2:0
23.10away · Zug1:4

Head to head

19.09.2026Lausanne — Ambri-Piotta4:1
24.02.2026Ambri-Piotta — Lausanne3:2 OT
20.12.2025Lausanne — Ambri-Piotta5:1
25.10.2025Lausanne — Ambri-Piotta5:1
13.09.2025Ambri-Piotta — Lausanne0:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zurich	18	13	4	0	1	75–38	+37	47
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Ambri-Piotta	18	9	2	2	5	57–53	+4	33
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	19	8	3	2	6	49–55	-6	32
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Fribourg	18	7	2	2	7	57–44	+13	27
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lausanne	20	7	2	1	10	59–69	-10	26
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Ajoie	19	5	4	2	8	58–64	-6	25

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

17:45
EHC KlotenServettepreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →