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Swiss National League (hockey) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Biel — Zurich

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Model prediction for 12 November

Biel33%
Draw in regulation21%
Zurich45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zurich are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Biel — No. 11, 23 pts; Zurich — No. 1, 47 pts. A gap of 24 pts.
  • Zurich: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Biel 0 wins, Zurich 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Biel — Zurich2.6–3.0
Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout)43%
Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout)57%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Biel
  • Biel goals
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Form

Biel

  • 31.10away · Servette2:3
  • 30.10EHC Kloten4:2
  • 27.10away · Ambri-Piotta3:4 SO
  • 24.10Zug5:0
  • 23.10away · Fribourg3:6

Zurich

  • 31.10away · EHC Kloten4:0
  • 30.10Ambri-Piotta4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Bern4:1
  • 25.10away · Servette5:1
  • 23.10Langnau Tigers3:2

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Zurich — Biel6:3
  • 30.01.2026Biel — Zurich1:5
  • 23.12.2025Zurich — Biel4:2
  • 14.11.2025Biel — Zurich0:2
  • 09.09.2025Zurich — Biel4:3

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZurich181340175–38+3747
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDavos19622945–55-1024
11Biel18702957–60-323
12Lugano18612956–62-622

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →