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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Brest — Yunost Minsk

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Model prediction for 15 November

Brest61%
Draw in regulation20%
Yunost Minsk20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brest are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Brest are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 1.8.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Brest 1 win, Yunost Minsk 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brest — Yunost Minsk3.1–1.8
Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brest
  • Brest goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brest

  • 02.11Mogilev3:0
  • 29.10away · Slavutych2:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Slavutych3:1
  • 23.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha6:1
  • 21.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha2:3

Yunost Minsk

  • 02.11away · Gomel0:3
  • 29.10Neman Grodno2:3
  • 27.10Neman Grodno3:2 OT
  • 24.10Lida1:4
  • 22.10Lida3:1

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Brest — Yunost Minsk1:2
  • 16.01.2026Brest — Yunost Minsk4:3 SO
  • 13.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Brest6:1
  • 11.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Brest2:1
  • 18.12.2024Yunost Minsk — Brest6:2

Full record: 30 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • LidaGomelpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →