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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Buran Voronezh — Khimik

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Model prediction for 22 November

Buran Voronezh29%
Draw in regulation23%
Khimik48%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Khimik are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Buran Voronezh — No. 11, 24 pts; Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Buran Voronezh: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Buran Voronezh 1 win, Khimik 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Buran Voronezh — Khimik2.0–2.5
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Buran Voronezh
  • Buran Voronezh goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Buran Voronezh

  • 01.11Izhevsk1:2
  • 28.10Olympia1:5
  • 23.10away · Kristall Saratov2:4
  • 21.10away · Dizel4:0
  • 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0

Khimik

  • 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
  • 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
  • 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
  • 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
  • 20.10AKM2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 29.01.2026Buran Voronezh — Khimik0:4
  • 21.10.2025Khimik — Buran Voronezh4:3 OT
  • 04.03.2025Khimik — Buran Voronezh1:5
  • 16.09.2024Buran Voronezh — Khimik2:6
  • 05.03.2024Buran Voronezh — Khimik2:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk21123646–32+1427
8, PlayoffsKhimik20114569–47+2226
9, PlayoffsKaluga20114543–34+926
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg17121448–23+2525
11, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh18112539–33+624
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →