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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Ceske Budejovice — Sparta Prague

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Model prediction for 19 November

Ceske Budejovice34%
Draw in regulation23%
Sparta Prague43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sparta Prague are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Ceske Budejovice — No. 5, 26 pts; Sparta Prague — No. 6, 25 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ceske Budejovice 1 win, Sparta Prague 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ceske Budejovice — Sparta Prague2.3–2.5
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Ceske Budejovice goals
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Form

Ceske Budejovice

  • 01.11Karlovy Vary2:3
  • 30.10away · Olomouc0:4
  • 27.10Mountfield HK3:0
  • 25.10away · Mlada Boleslav2:3 SO
  • 23.10away · Trinec6:2

Sparta Prague

  • 01.11Litvinov3:0
  • 30.10away · Mlada Boleslav4:1
  • 27.10away · Kladno1:5
  • 24.10Olomouc2:1 OT
  • 23.10away · Liberec1:3

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026Sparta Prague — Ceske Budejovice4:2
  • 01.02.2026Sparta Prague — Ceske Budejovice4:3
  • 28.11.2025Ceske Budejovice — Sparta Prague3:1
  • 12.10.2025Sparta Prague — Ceske Budejovice4:2
  • 09.09.2025Ceske Budejovice — Sparta Prague2:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary17820741–33+828
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice17802745–47-226
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague17712745–40+525
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlzen17461644–42+225

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →