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NHL · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets

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Model prediction for 14 November

Chicago Blackhawks32%
Draw in regulation23%
Winnipeg Jets45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Chicago Blackhawks — No. 31, 9 pts; Winnipeg Jets — No. 26, 13 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Chicago Blackhawks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Chicago Blackhawks 2 wins, Winnipeg Jets 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets2.5–2.9
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 03.11Colorado Avalanche2:5
  • 31.10away · Boston Bruins4:5 OT
  • 30.10away · Detroit Red Wings1:4
  • 28.10Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 25.10Florida Panthers2:3

Winnipeg Jets

  • 04.11away · Montreal Canadiens5:4 OT
  • 01.11away · Carolina Hurricanes0:7
  • 31.10away · Florida Panthers2:5
  • 30.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:6
  • 28.10Florida Panthers1:5

Head to head

  • 16.10.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
  • 01.04.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets3:4 OT
  • 04.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks3:2 OT
  • 20.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets2:0
  • 31.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks6:3

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
25Calgary Flames1570838–53-1514
26Winnipeg Jets1653839–58-1913
27Pittsburgh Penguins1552849–52-312
30Los Angeles Kings1342736–45-910
31Chicago Blackhawks15411033–58-259
32Vancouver Canucks17311351–77-267

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →