Swiss National League (hockey) · Saturday, 24 October, 20:45 MSK

EHC Kloten — Rapperswil-Jona

Model prediction for 24 October

EHC Kloten40%

Draw in regulation23%

Rapperswil-Jona37%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: EHC Kloten 51%, Rapperswil-Jona 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.4.

Facts

League table: EHC Kloten — No. 14, 9 pts; Rapperswil-Jona — No. 12, 11 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Last 5 meetings: EHC Kloten 3 wins, Rapperswil-Jona 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: EHC Kloten — Rapperswil-Jona		2.5–2.4
EHC Kloten to win (incl. OT and shootout)		51%
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		59%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap EHC Kloten
EHC Kloten goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

EHC Kloten

11.10Zug1:3
09.10away · Davos4:1
03.10away · Langnau Tigers2:6
02.10Fribourg1:4
29.09away · Servette0:4

Rapperswil-Jona

10.10Lausanne1:4
09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5

Head to head

15.09.2026Rapperswil-Jona — EHC Kloten3:4 OT
05.03.2026Rapperswil-Jona — EHC Kloten6:4
19.12.2025EHC Kloten — Rapperswil-Jona5:2
15.11.2025Rapperswil-Jona — EHC Kloten3:2 OT
12.09.2025EHC Kloten — Rapperswil-Jona5:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10
14, Relegation play-off	EHC Kloten	11	2	1	1	7	23–40	-17	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

20:45
Ambri-PiottaAjoiepreliminary
6832
1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
20:45
BielZugpreliminary
5347
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
20:45
Langnau TigersDavospreliminary
5050
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
20:45
LausanneFribourgpreliminary
5446
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →