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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Fribourg — Servette

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Model prediction for 18 November

Fribourg50%
Draw in regulation22%
Servette29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fribourg are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Fribourg are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • Servette: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Fribourg 3 wins, Servette 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fribourg — Servette2.8–2.2
Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Fribourg
  • Fribourg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Fribourg

  • 30.10Servette0:1
  • 28.10away · Langnau Tigers2:4
  • 27.10Davos3:1
  • 24.10away · Lausanne0:2
  • 23.10Biel6:3

Servette

  • 31.10Biel3:2
  • 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
  • 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
  • 25.10Zurich1:5
  • 23.10away · Ajoie0:5

Head to head

  • 30.10.2026Fribourg — Servette0:1
  • 25.09.2026Servette — Fribourg4:3 SO
  • 12.04.2026Fribourg — Servette6:2
  • 10.04.2026Servette — Fribourg3:4
  • 08.04.2026Fribourg — Servette2:1

Full record: 19 meetings →

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • PardubiceSaiPapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →