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AHL (American Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers

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Model prediction for 17 November

Hartford Wolf Pack30%
Draw in regulation22%
Charlotte Checkers49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Charlotte Checkers are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Hartford Wolf Pack — No. 19, 13 pts; Charlotte Checkers — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hartford Wolf Pack 1 win, Charlotte Checkers 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers2.3–2.9
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Hartford Wolf Pack
  • Hartford Wolf Pack goals
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Form

Hartford Wolf Pack

  • 01.11away · Springfield Thunderbirds4:2
  • 31.10away · Belleville Senators4:1
  • 30.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:5 OT
  • 25.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:3
  • 24.10Providence Bruins2:0

Charlotte Checkers

  • 02.11away · Iowa Wild5:4 OT
  • 31.10away · Iowa Wild6:3
  • 29.10away · Colorado Eagles0:3
  • 28.10away · Colorado Eagles6:3
  • 25.10Springfield Thunderbirds1:2

Head to head

  • 18.10.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack4:2
  • 17.10.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack2:1
  • 29.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
  • 29.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Charlotte Checkers1:2 OT
  • 19.03.2026Charlotte Checkers — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
7Manitoba Moose1280447–32+1516.667
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667
9Colorado Eagles1162332–27+514.636
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →