Kaluga — Almetyevsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Almetyevsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 9, 26 pts; Almetyevsk — No. 3, 30 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Kaluga: 3 defeats in a row; Almetyevsk: 5 wins in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: Kaluga 10, Almetyevsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — Almetyevsk | 1.9–2.3 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 28.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
- 26.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg0:3
- 24.10away · Zvezda Moscow2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
- 18.10Gornyak1:3
- 03.11away · Ryazan2:1
- 25.10away · Bars2:0
- 21.10CSK VVS3:2 OT
- 14.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:1 SO
- 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 22 | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 3, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 19 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs | AKM | 21 | 12 | +13 | 29 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
VHL on the same day
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →