Kaluga — CSK VVS
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Kaluga are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.
Why
- Kaluga are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 9, 26 pts; CSK VVS — No. 29, 10 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Kaluga: 3 defeats in a row; CSK VVS: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — CSK VVS | 2.3–1.8 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 26% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 74% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 28.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
- 26.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg0:3
- 24.10away · Zvezda Moscow2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
- 18.10Gornyak1:3
- 23.10away · Bars2:3
- 21.10away · Almetyevsk2:3 OT
- 12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
- 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
- 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →