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Swiss National League (hockey) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Lausanne — Zurich

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Model prediction for 19 November

Lausanne32%
Draw in regulation21%
Zurich47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zurich are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Zurich are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Lausanne — No. 8, 26 pts; Zurich — No. 1, 47 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
  • Zurich: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Lausanne 1 win, Zurich 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lausanne — Zurich2.5–2.9
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Zurich to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lausanne
  • Lausanne goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lausanne

  • 31.10Davos3:2 OT
  • 29.10away · Lugano0:4
  • 27.10Langnau Tigers3:9
  • 24.10Fribourg2:0
  • 23.10away · Zug1:4

Zurich

  • 31.10away · EHC Kloten4:0
  • 30.10Ambri-Piotta4:3 SO
  • 27.10away · Bern4:1
  • 25.10away · Servette5:1
  • 23.10Langnau Tigers3:2

Head to head

  • 03.10.2026Zurich — Lausanne3:2 OT
  • 27.02.2026Lausanne — Zurich3:4 SO
  • 03.01.2026Zurich — Lausanne3:2
  • 16.11.2025Zurich — Lausanne1:2 SO
  • 04.10.2025Lausanne — Zurich1:3

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZurich181340175–38+3747
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne207211059–69-1026
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →