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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy

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Model prediction for 21 November

Lokomotiv Orsha39%
Draw in regulation21%
Baranavichy40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Lokomotiv Orsha 49%, Baranavichy 51% including overtime.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.1.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Orsha 3 wins, Baranavichy 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy3.0–3.1
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)63%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)37%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lokomotiv Orsha
  • Lokomotiv Orsha goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 03.11away · Novopolotsk3:2
  • 30.10Zhlobin1:5
  • 28.10Zhlobin2:4
  • 23.10Brest1:6
  • 21.10Brest3:2

Baranavichy

  • 02.11away · Neman Grodno0:8
  • 30.10Molodechno3:2 SO
  • 28.10Molodechno2:7
  • 24.10Gomel1:6
  • 22.10Gomel3:2 OT

Head to head

  • 06.12.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy4:1
  • 04.12.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy2:0
  • 02.10.2025Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha7:2
  • 30.09.2025Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha4:0
  • 19.12.2024Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha1:2 SO

Full record: 20 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • MogilevSlavutychpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 214%Model's score: 2:56.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →