Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Lokomotiv Orsha 49%, Baranavichy 51% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 3.1.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Lokomotiv Orsha 3 wins, Baranavichy 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy | 3.0–3.1 | |
| Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lokomotiv Orsha
- Lokomotiv Orsha goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 02.11away · Neman Grodno0:8
- 30.10Molodechno3:2 SO
- 28.10Molodechno2:7
- 24.10Gomel1:6
- 22.10Gomel3:2 OT
Head to head
- 06.12.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy4:1
- 04.12.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Baranavichy2:0
- 02.10.2025Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha7:2
- 30.09.2025Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha4:0
- 19.12.2024Baranavichy — Lokomotiv Orsha1:2 SO
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- MogilevSlavutychpreliminary16842The model's most likely outcome: 214%Model's score: 2:56.3
- NovopolotskYunost Minskpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →