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AHL (American Hockey League) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins

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Model prediction for 24 November

Manitoba Moose32%
Draw in regulation21%
Grand Rapids Griffins47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Manitoba Moose — No. 7, 16 pts; Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 1, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Manitoba Moose 0 wins, Grand Rapids Griffins 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins2.6–3.1
Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Manitoba Moose
  • Manitoba Moose goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Manitoba Moose

  • 31.10away · Rockford IceHogs6:3
  • 29.10away · Milwaukee Admirals0:3
  • 27.10away · Chicago Wolves3:6
  • 25.10away · Iowa Wild2:0
  • 24.10away · Iowa Wild4:3

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 02.11away · Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 25.10Cleveland Monsters5:2
  • 24.10Cleveland Monsters2:3 SO
  • 22.10Manitoba Moose4:3
  • 18.10Rockford IceHogs5:1

Head to head

  • 22.10.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose4:3
  • 10.10.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose2:1
  • 09.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose5:2
  • 07.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose4:2
  • 03.05.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins0:2

Full record: 30 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Grand Rapids Griffins1182142–25+1718.818
2Abbotsford Canucks1071240–28+1215.750
6Milwaukee Admirals1070326–20+614.700
7Manitoba Moose1280447–32+1516.667
8Charlotte Checkers1280438–32+616.667

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →