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Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Mogilev — Zhlobin

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Model prediction for 14 November

Mogilev13%
Draw in regulation15%
Zhlobin71%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zhlobin are clear favourites: 82% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 3.9 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • Zhlobin: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mogilev 0 wins, Zhlobin 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mogilev — Zhlobin1.9–3.9
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)18%
Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout)82%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mogilev
  • Mogilev goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mogilev

  • 02.11away · Brest0:3
  • 29.10Novopolotsk4:3 OT
  • 27.10Novopolotsk1:2
  • 23.10away · Molodechno4:2
  • 21.10away · Molodechno1:4

Zhlobin

  • 03.11Vitebsk3:2
  • 30.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:1
  • 28.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:2
  • 24.10away · Novopolotsk3:0
  • 22.10away · Novopolotsk4:3 SO

Head to head

  • 06.12.2025Zhlobin — Mogilev6:2
  • 04.12.2025Zhlobin — Mogilev5:4
  • 01.10.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin1:5
  • 29.09.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin3:4
  • 12.02.2025Mogilev — Zhlobin3:4 OT

Full record: 39 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →