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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Mountfield HK — Kometa Brno

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Model prediction for 18 November

Mountfield HK48%
Draw in regulation22%
Kometa Brno30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mountfield HK are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Mountfield HK are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Mountfield HK — No. 9, 24 pts; Kometa Brno — No. 10, 24 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mountfield HK 2 wins, Kometa Brno 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mountfield HK — Kometa Brno2.7–2.2
Mountfield HK to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mountfield HK
  • Mountfield HK goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mountfield HK

  • 01.11away · Liberec3:4 OT
  • 27.10away · Ceske Budejovice0:3
  • 25.10Pardubice2:0
  • 23.10Karlovy Vary3:4 OT
  • 18.10away · Mlada Boleslav3:4

Kometa Brno

  • 01.11Olomouc3:2
  • 28.10Trinec3:4 OT
  • 25.10away · Litvinov4:1
  • 23.10away · Vitkovice2:3
  • 20.10away · Karlovy Vary1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Kometa Brno — Mountfield HK3:1
  • 25.01.2026Kometa Brno — Mountfield HK4:3
  • 21.12.2025Mountfield HK — Kometa Brno2:1
  • 28.10.2025Kometa Brno — Mountfield HK1:2
  • 21.09.2025Mountfield HK — Kometa Brno3:5

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLiberec16614544–43+124
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK16622643–42+124
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno16533543–43024
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov17611936–45-921

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • TrinecOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →