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Kazakhstan Hockey Championship · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Pavlodar — Kulager

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 22 November

Pavlodar1%
Draw in regulation2%
Kulager97%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kulager are clear favourites: 99% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 8.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 87%.

Why

  • Kulager are more dangerous in attack: 7.1 expected goals against 1.3.

Facts

  • League table: Pavlodar — No. 10, 1 pt; Kulager — No. 5, 31 pts. A gap of 30 pts.
  • Pavlodar: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pavlodar 0 wins, Kulager 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pavlodar — Kulager1.3–7.1
Pavlodar to win (incl. OT and shootout)1%
Kulager to win (incl. OT and shootout)99%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)87%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)13%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pavlodar
  • Pavlodar goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pavlodar

  • 30.10Aktobe4:7
  • 29.10Aktobe2:5
  • 21.10away · Kokshetau2:9
  • 20.10away · Kokshetau1:5
  • 16.10Torpedo1:12

Kulager

  • 29.10Beibarys Atyrau3:2
  • 28.10Beibarys Atyrau3:4 SO
  • 21.10away · Aktobe4:1
  • 20.10away · Aktobe7:1
  • 17.10away · Beibarys Atyrau5:0

Head to head

  • 24.09.2026Kulager — Pavlodar7:0
  • 23.09.2026Kulager — Pavlodar10:1
  • 07.02.2026Kulager — Pavlodar7:1
  • 06.02.2026Kulager — Pavlodar14:0
  • 29.10.2025Pavlodar — Kulager0:5

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, PlayoffsKaraganda261745108–60+4838
5, PlayoffsKulager24135687–62+2531
6, PlayoffsGornyak Rudny261411190–68+2229
9Beibarys Atyrau25521848–85-3712
10Pavlodar24012331–187-1561

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Kazakhstan Championship on the same day

  • AktobeKaragandapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 210%Model's score: 2:57.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →