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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Perm — Izhevsk

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Model prediction for 18 November

Perm56%
Draw in regulation21%
Izhevsk23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Perm are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Perm are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Perm — No. 5, 28 pts; Izhevsk — No. 28, 12 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
  • Perm: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Perm 4 wins, Izhevsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Perm — Izhevsk2.8–1.9
Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Perm

  • 30.10HC Yugra3:2 SO
  • 28.10Rubin Tyumen5:2
  • 26.10Kurgan3:1
  • 24.10Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 19.10away · Dyn. Altay5:1

Izhevsk

  • 03.11away · Tambov1:5
  • 01.11away · Buran Voronezh2:1
  • 26.10HC Yugra4:5
  • 24.10Rubin Tyumen2:5
  • 22.10Kurgan2:4

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Perm — Izhevsk2:4
  • 20.09.2025Izhevsk — Perm0:3
  • 01.02.2025Perm — Izhevsk3:0
  • 20.10.2024Izhevsk — Perm2:7
  • 27.12.2023Perm — Izhevsk4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, PlayoffsAKM21125461–48+1329
5, PlayoffsPerm19140556–32+2428
6, PlayoffsOrsk19116253–42+1128
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814
28Izhevsk20521343–63-2012
29CSK VVS18421235–62-2710

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →