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AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild

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Model prediction for 9 November

Rockford IceHogs36%
Draw in regulation22%
Iowa Wild42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Iowa Wild are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Rockford IceHogs — No. 27, 8 pts; Iowa Wild — No. 30, 9 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Iowa Wild: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Rockford IceHogs 1 win, Iowa Wild 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild2.5–2.6
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Rockford IceHogs
  • Rockford IceHogs goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Rockford IceHogs

  • 02.11Texas Stars4:3
  • 31.10Manitoba Moose3:6
  • 25.10away · Toronto Marlies3:0
  • 24.10away · Toronto Marlies3:2 OT
  • 18.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5

Iowa Wild

  • 02.11Charlotte Checkers4:5 OT
  • 31.10Charlotte Checkers3:6
  • 25.10Manitoba Moose0:2
  • 24.10Manitoba Moose3:4
  • 22.10Milwaukee Admirals2:3

Head to head

  • 17.10.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild0:2
  • 11.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs4:3
  • 10.10.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs1:2
  • 11.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild4:5
  • 05.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild0:4

Full record: 37 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400
28San Jose Barracuda1040631–43-128.400
29Bakersfield Condors931523–28-57.389
30Iowa Wild1233629–37-89.375
31Hamilton Hammers1232730–48-188.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →