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Swiss National League (hockey) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Servette — Lausanne

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Model prediction for 22 November

Servette42%
Draw in regulation22%
Lausanne35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Servette are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.4.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Servette — No. 3, 32 pts; Lausanne — No. 8, 26 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Servette: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Servette 3 wins, Lausanne 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Servette — Lausanne2.6–2.4
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Lausanne to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Servette
  • Servette goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Servette

  • 31.10Biel3:2
  • 30.10away · Fribourg1:0
  • 27.10away · Rapperswil-Jona2:1 OT
  • 25.10Zurich1:5
  • 23.10away · Ajoie0:5

Lausanne

  • 31.10Davos3:2 OT
  • 29.10away · Lugano0:4
  • 27.10Langnau Tigers3:9
  • 24.10Fribourg2:0
  • 23.10away · Zug1:4

Head to head

  • 30.09.2026Lausanne — Servette6:5 SO
  • 02.04.2026Servette — Lausanne5:1
  • 31.03.2026Lausanne — Servette3:4 OT
  • 29.03.2026Servette — Lausanne2:3
  • 27.03.2026Lausanne — Servette2:4

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAmbri-Piotta18922557–53+433
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette19832649–55-632
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers19813766–56+1029
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFribourg18722757–44+1327
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLausanne207211059–69-1026
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsAjoie19542858–64-625

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →