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AHL (American Hockey League) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack

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Model prediction for 10 November

Springfield Thunderbirds39%
Draw in regulation22%
Hartford Wolf Pack39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Close to a coin flip: Springfield Thunderbirds 50%, Hartford Wolf Pack 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Springfield Thunderbirds — No. 26, 9 pts; Hartford Wolf Pack — No. 19, 13 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Springfield Thunderbirds 2 wins, Hartford Wolf Pack 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack2.6–2.6
Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

Springfield Thunderbirds

  • 01.11Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
  • 31.10Providence Bruins6:7 OT
  • 25.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:1
  • 24.10away · Charlotte Checkers2:3
  • 18.10Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 OT

Hartford Wolf Pack

  • 01.11away · Springfield Thunderbirds4:2
  • 31.10away · Belleville Senators4:1
  • 30.10away · Hamilton Hammers4:5 OT
  • 25.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:3
  • 24.10Providence Bruins2:0

Head to head

  • 01.11.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack2:4
  • 19.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:3
  • 18.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Springfield Thunderbirds7:5
  • 12.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack1:3
  • 01.02.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:1

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
18Calgary Wranglers1260638–36+212.500
19Hartford Wolf Pack1361633–37-413.500
20Belleville Senators1252536–40-412.500
25Lehigh Valley Phantoms1041528–42-149.450
26Springfield Thunderbirds1033425–33-89.450
27Rockford IceHogs1040622–30-88.400

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →