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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Toros Neftekamsk — Izhevsk

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Model prediction for 16 November

Toros Neftekamsk48%
Draw in regulation22%
Izhevsk29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Toros Neftekamsk are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Toros Neftekamsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • League table: Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts; Izhevsk — No. 28, 12 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Toros Neftekamsk 4 wins, Izhevsk 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — Izhevsk2.6–2.1
Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Toros Neftekamsk
  • Toros Neftekamsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Toros Neftekamsk

  • 28.10HC Yugra5:2
  • 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
  • 24.10Kurgan4:3
  • 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
  • 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1

Izhevsk

  • 03.11away · Tambov1:5
  • 01.11away · Buran Voronezh2:1
  • 26.10HC Yugra4:5
  • 24.10Rubin Tyumen2:5
  • 22.10Kurgan2:4

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Izhevsk — Toros Neftekamsk3:1
  • 02.09.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Izhevsk2:1
  • 05.02.2025Izhevsk — Toros Neftekamsk1:2
  • 16.10.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Izhevsk6:3
  • 08.01.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Izhevsk7:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
27Kurgan1854934–52-1814
28Izhevsk20521343–63-2012
29CSK VVS18421235–62-2710

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • PermOlympiapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →