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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia

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Model prediction for 14 November

Toros Neftekamsk46%
Draw in regulation23%
Olympia30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Toros Neftekamsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Toros Neftekamsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts; Olympia — No. 17, 21 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Toros Neftekamsk 3 wins, Olympia 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia2.4–2.0
Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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Form

Toros Neftekamsk

  • 28.10HC Yugra5:2
  • 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
  • 24.10Kurgan4:3
  • 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
  • 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1

Olympia

  • 03.11away · Kristall Saratov3:2
  • 01.11away · Dizel5:4 SO
  • 30.10away · Tambov2:4
  • 28.10away · Buran Voronezh5:1
  • 24.10HC Yugra0:4

Head to head

  • 05.03.2026Olympia — Toros Neftekamsk1:0
  • 16.09.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia4:0
  • 01.02.2025Olympia — Toros Neftekamsk1:3
  • 20.10.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia4:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, PlayoffsHC Yugra19111745–32+1323
13, PlayoffsToros Neftekamsk19103647–43+423
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622
17Olympia221011158–61-321
18Gornyak1792642–39+320

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →