Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toros Neftekamsk are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Toros Neftekamsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Toros Neftekamsk — No. 13, 23 pts; Olympia — No. 17, 21 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Toros Neftekamsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Toros Neftekamsk 3 wins, Olympia 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia | 2.4–2.0 | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toros Neftekamsk
- Toros Neftekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 28.10HC Yugra5:2
- 26.10Rubin Tyumen4:1
- 24.10Kurgan4:3
- 22.10Omskie Krylia0:2
- 17.10away · Dyn. Altay2:1
- 03.11away · Kristall Saratov3:2
- 01.11away · Dizel5:4 SO
- 30.10away · Tambov2:4
- 28.10away · Buran Voronezh5:1
- 24.10HC Yugra0:4
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Olympia — Toros Neftekamsk1:0
- 16.09.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia4:0
- 01.02.2025Olympia — Toros Neftekamsk1:3
- 20.10.2024Toros Neftekamsk — Olympia4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 16, Playoffs | Ryazan | 22 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 17 | Olympia | 22 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →