Torpedo — Kokshetau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Torpedo are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Torpedo are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: Torpedo — No. 1, 44 pts; Kokshetau — No. 3, 41 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Torpedo: 5 wins in a row; Kokshetau: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Torpedo 3 wins, Kokshetau 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Torpedo — Kokshetau | 3.5–1.8 | |
| Torpedo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 80% | |
| Kokshetau to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 20% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Torpedo
- Torpedo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 30.10away · Gornyak Rudny4:0
- 29.10away · Gornyak Rudny3:2
- 26.10Almaty4:3
- 25.10Almaty3:0
- 21.10Pavlodar9:2
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo3:4 OT
- 06.09.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo3:2
- 15.02.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo2:5
- 14.02.2026Kokshetau — Torpedo1:3
- 06.12.2025Torpedo — Kokshetau1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Torpedo | 26 | 21 | +92 | 44 |
| 2, Playoffs | Nomad Astana | 25 | 20 | +41 | 42 |
| 3, Playoffs | Kokshetau | 26 | 20 | +39 | 41 |
| 4, Playoffs | Karaganda | 26 | 17 | +48 | 38 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →