KHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Tractor Chelyabinsk — No. 20, 10 pts; Novosibirsk — No. 15, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Tractor Chelyabinsk: 3 defeats in a row; Novosibirsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Tractor Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Novosibirsk 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk | 2.9–2.0 | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Novosibirsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tractor Chelyabinsk
- Tractor Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
- 14.10away · Salavat Ufa4:2
- 12.10away · Barys Astana3:2
- 10.10away · Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1
- 07.10Salavat Ufa4:5 OT
- 04.10away · Niznekamsk2:3
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk1:2
- 31.01.2026Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:3
- 11.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:1
- 02.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Novosibirsk4:3
- 25.10.2025Novosibirsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:4 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Novosibirsk | 16 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 14 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- YekaterinburgBarys Astanapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Dynamo MoscowAvangard Omskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →