KHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Dynamo Moscow — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Dynamo Moscow 48%, Avangard Omsk 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Moscow — Avangard Omsk | 2.2–2.3 | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dynamo Moscow
- Dynamo Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
- 07.10Shanghai2:3
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Dynamo Moscow — Avangard Omsk1:4
- 13.09.2025Avangard Omsk — Dynamo Moscow7:4
- 18.03.2025Dynamo Moscow — Avangard Omsk4:3 OT
- 13.11.2024Avangard Omsk — Dynamo Moscow3:5
- 13.10.2023Avangard Omsk — Dynamo Moscow3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
KHL on the same day
- Tractor ChelyabinskNovosibirskpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8
- YekaterinburgBarys Astanapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →