Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Thursday, 15 October, 18:30 MSK

Vaasan Sport — KooKoo

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 15 October

Vaasan Sport28%

Draw in regulation21%

KooKoo51%

Model estimate at 11:24 MSK

In short

KooKoo are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

KooKoo are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

League table: Vaasan Sport — No. 15, 13 pts; KooKoo — No. 17, 4 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Vaasan Sport 3 wins, KooKoo 2.
Days of rest before the match: Vaasan Sport 8, KooKoo 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaasan Sport — KooKoo		2.3–3.0
Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout)		36%
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)		64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		51%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Vaasan Sport
Vaasan Sport goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Vaasan Sport

07.10Ilves2:1
03.10IFK Helsinki2:3 OT
26.09Karpat1:2
23.09Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
19.09away · Karpat2:3

KooKoo

10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
09.10Jukurit4:1
03.10Pelicans3:6
30.09away · Tappara0:3
26.09Jukurit3:5

Head to head

25.02.2026Vaasan Sport — KooKoo3:4
10.02.2026KooKoo — Vaasan Sport4:1
27.09.2025Vaasan Sport — KooKoo5:1
19.09.2025KooKoo — Vaasan Sport2:6
22.03.2025Vaasan Sport — KooKoo4:2

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
14, Relegation play-off	IFK Helsinki	11	3	1	2	5	31–34	-3	13
15, Relegation play-off	Vaasan Sport	11	3	1	2	5	20–31	-11	13
16, Relegation play-off	Jokerit	13	2	1	2	8	25–42	-17	10
17, Relegation	KooKoo	12	1	0	1	10	25–52	-27	4

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

18:30
SaiPaHameenlinna
6733
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →