Vaxjo — Frolunda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Frolunda are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- Vaxjo: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vaxjo 1 win, Frolunda 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vaxjo — Frolunda | 2.1–2.5 | |
| Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vaxjo
- Vaxjo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 31.10Farjestad1:5
- 29.10away · Timra0:3
- 24.10away · Farjestad1:4
- 22.10Lulea2:1
- 17.10away · Brynas3:2
Head to head
- 19.09.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo5:4
- 10.02.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo1:2
- 05.02.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda1:3
- 03.01.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda2:3 SO
- 30.10.2025Frolunda — Vaxjo3:0
Champions Hockey League on the same day
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.7
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime4.8
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime5.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →