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Champions Hockey League (CHL) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Vaxjo — Frolunda

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Model prediction for 10 November

Vaxjo32%
Draw in regulation23%
Frolunda45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Frolunda are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.5.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • Vaxjo: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vaxjo 1 win, Frolunda 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaxjo — Frolunda2.1–2.5
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vaxjo
  • Vaxjo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vaxjo

  • 31.10Farjestad1:5
  • 29.10away · Timra0:3
  • 24.10away · Farjestad1:4
  • 22.10Lulea2:1
  • 17.10away · Brynas3:2

Frolunda

  • 31.10Linkoping4:1
  • 29.10away · Orebro2:3
  • 27.10Rogle4:5
  • 24.10away · HV 716:2
  • 22.10away · Rogle1:4

Head to head

  • 19.09.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo5:4
  • 10.02.2026Frolunda — Vaxjo1:2
  • 05.02.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda1:3
  • 03.01.2026Vaxjo — Frolunda2:3 SO
  • 30.10.2025Frolunda — Vaxjo3:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Champions Hockey League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.7
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime4.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:2 in overtime5.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:3 in overtime5.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →