NHL · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Washington Capitals — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Close to a coin flip: Washington Capitals 51%, Florida Panthers 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Washington Capitals — No. 20, 16 pts; Florida Panthers — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Washington Capitals 2 wins, Florida Panthers 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Florida Panthers | 2.8–2.8 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11Dallas Stars5:6
- 01.11Minnesota Wild1:5
- 30.10away · Nashville Predators4:3
- 29.10Philadelphia Flyers5:2
- 25.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 OT
- 03.11Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 31.10Winnipeg Jets5:2
- 28.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
- 25.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:2
- 23.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins0:4
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Washington Capitals — Florida Panthers2:5
- 30.12.2025Florida Panthers — Washington Capitals5:3
- 14.11.2025Florida Panthers — Washington Capitals6:3
- 23.03.2025Washington Capitals — Florida Panthers6:3
- 05.02.2025Washington Capitals — Florida Panthers6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 15 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 16 | 8 | +1 | 17 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 14 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Washington Capitals | 14 | 8 | +1 | 16 |
| 21 | New York Islanders | 14 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
NHL on the same day
- 62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.2
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →