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Tennis: ATP, Lyon, hard · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3)

Arnaldi M. — Musetti L.

Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Arnaldi M.32%
Musetti L.68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Musetti L. to win (68%), came true.

Musetti L. are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Arnaldi M. 1568, Musetti L. 1728.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

Form

Arnaldi M.

  • 10.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 08.10Tomic B.2:0
  • 03.10Alcaraz C.0:2
  • 30.09Sakamoto R.2:1

Musetti L.

  • 09.10Zhou Y.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →