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Tennis: ATP, Lyon, hard · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Cobolli F. — Musetti L.

Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Cobolli F.48%
Musetti L.52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Musetti L. to win (52%), came true.

Evenly matched: Cobolli F. 48%, Musetti L. 52%.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cobolli F. 1685, Musetti L. 1737.

Facts

  • Musetti L.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

Form

Cobolli F.

  • 23.10Nakashima B.2:1
  • 22.10Wawrinka S.2:0
  • 09.10Mannarino A.1:2
  • 01.10Safiullin R.0:2

Musetti L.

  • 23.10van Assche L.2:1
  • 21.10Kouame M.2:0
  • 19.10Arnaldi M.2:0
  • 09.10Zhou Y.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →