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Tennis: ATP, Lyon, hard · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3)

Cobolli F. — Nakashima B.

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Cobolli F.42%
Nakashima B.58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Nakashima B. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Nakashima B. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cobolli F. 1676, Nakashima B. 1699.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

Form

Cobolli F.

  • 22.10Wawrinka S.2:0
  • 09.10Mannarino A.1:2
  • 01.10Safiullin R.0:2

Nakashima B.

  • 22.10Jacquet K.2:0
  • 20.10Medjedovic H.2:1
  • 11.10Bublik A.1:2
  • 09.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 01.10Humbert U.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →