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Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3)

Davidovich Fokina A. — Jodar R.

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Davidovich Fokina A.42%
Jodar R.58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Jodar R. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Jodar R. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Davidovich Fokina A. 1735, Jodar R. 1786.

Facts

  • Davidovich Fokina A.: unbeaten in 5; Jodar R.: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

Form

Davidovich Fokina A.

  • 17.10Zverev A.2:1
  • 15.10Gea A.0:0
  • 13.10Hurkacz H.2:1
  • 11.10Tiafoe F.2:1
  • 09.10Brooksby J.2:0

Jodar R.

  • 17.10Medvedev D.2:0
  • 16.10Ruud C.2:1
  • 14.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1
  • 12.10Lehecka J.2:1
  • 10.10Tirante T. A.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →