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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Day K. — Zhang S.

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Day K.51%
Zhang S.49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Day K. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Day K. 51%, Zhang S. 49%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Day K. 1414, Zhang S. 1552.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

Form

Day K.

  • 22.10Ruzic A.0:1
  • 20.10Kenin S.2:0
  • 18.10Joint M.1:2
  • 17.10Koike E.2:0

Zhang S.

  • 20.10Valentova T.1:2
  • 13.10Krueger A.0:2
  • 24.09Cocciaretto E.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →