Fearnley J. — Carreno-Busta P.
Model prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Carreno-Busta P. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.
Carreno-Busta P. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
Over 22.5 games — 51%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Fearnley J. 1506, Carreno-Busta P. 1623.
Probabilities
| Games over 22.5 | 51% |
| Games under 22.5 | 49% |
Form
- 12.10Auger-Aliassime F.1:2
- 10.10Tabilo A.2:1
- 08.10Navone M.2:1
- 02.10Medvedev D.0:2
- 29.09Mannarino A.2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →