Fernandez L. — Alexandrova E.
Model prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Alexandrova E. to win (70%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 30 matches out of 100 on average.
Alexandrova E. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
Over 20.5 games — 51%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1584, Alexandrova E. 1715.
Probabilities
| Games over 20.5 | 51% |
| Games under 20.5 | 49% |
Form
- 21.10Sasnovich A.2:1
- 19.10Mertens E.2:1
- 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2
- 14.10Shi H.2:0
- 12.10Alexandrova E.2:1
- 21.10Kostyuk M.1:0
- 20.10Guo H.2:0
- 12.10Fernandez L.1:2
- 08.10Andreeva M.0:2
- 06.10Noskova L.2:0
Head to head
- 12.10.2026Alexandrova E. — Fernandez L.1:2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →