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Tennis: WTA, Ningbo, hard · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Fernandez L. — Bouzkova M.

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Fernandez L.40%
Bouzkova M.60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bouzkova M. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Bouzkova M. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1619, Bouzkova M. 1710.

Facts

  • Fernandez L.: 3 wins in a row; Bouzkova M.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

Form

Fernandez L.

  • 23.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 21.10Sasnovich A.2:1
  • 19.10Mertens E.2:1
  • 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2
  • 14.10Shi H.2:0

Bouzkova M.

  • 23.10Bejlek S.2:0
  • 21.10Zakharova A.2:0
  • 19.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 14.10Chwalinska M.1:2
  • 12.10Tauson C.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →