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Tennis: WTA, Ningbo, hard · Wednesday, 21 October, (UTC+3)

Fernandez L. — Sasnovich A.

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Fernandez L.47%
Sasnovich A.53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Sasnovich A. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Fernandez L. 47%, Sasnovich A. 53%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1555, Sasnovich A. 1594.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

Form

Fernandez L.

  • 19.10Mertens E.2:1
  • 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2
  • 14.10Shi H.2:0
  • 12.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 03.10Rakhimova K.1:2

Sasnovich A.

  • 19.10Kasatkina D.2:0
  • 18.10Kalinina A.0:0
  • 17.10Bondar A.2:0
  • 02.10Alexandrova E.0:2
  • 30.09Gibson T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →