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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Fernandez L. — Shnaider D.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Fernandez L.29%
Shnaider D.71%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Shnaider D. to win (71%), came true.

Shnaider D. are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1602, Shnaider D. 1803.

Facts

  • Fernandez L.: 3 wins in a row; Shnaider D.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 20.550%
Games under 20.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Shnaider D. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fernandez L.

  • 31.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 29.10Mertens E.2:0
  • 27.10Sakatsume H.2:0
  • 25.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 24.10Bouzkova M.2:0

Shnaider D.

  • 31.10Pohankova M.2:0
  • 30.10Eala A.2:1
  • 28.10Sasnovich A.2:1
  • 24.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 23.10Jovic I.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →