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Tennis: ATP, Lyon, hard · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3)

Herbert P. — Baez S.

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Herbert P.44%
Baez S.56%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Baez S. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Baez S. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Herbert P. 1443, Baez S. 1557.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

Form

Herbert P.

  • 19.10Mrva M.2:1
  • 18.10Rodionov J.2:1

Baez S.

  • 10.10Vacherot V.0:2
  • 08.10Giron M.2:1
  • 01.10Shang J.1:2
  • 23.09Brooksby J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →