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Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Saturday, 17 October, (UTC+3)

Jodar R. — Medvedev D.

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Jodar R.37%
Medvedev D.63%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Jodar R. 1771, Medvedev D. 1838.

Facts

  • Jodar R.: 4 wins in a row; Medvedev D.: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

Form

Jodar R.

  • 16.10Ruud C.2:1
  • 14.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1
  • 12.10Lehecka J.2:1
  • 10.10Tirante T. A.2:1
  • 01.10Vallejo D.0:2

Medvedev D.

  • 16.10Paul T.2:1
  • 14.10Tsitsipas S.2:0
  • 12.10Svrcina D.2:0
  • 10.10Struff J-L.2:1
  • 05.10Djokovic N.0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →