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Tennis: WTA, Osaka, hard · Tuesday, 20 October, (UTC+3)

Li A. — Jones E.

Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Li A.83%
Jones E.17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Li A. to win (83%), came true.

Li A. are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

Over 18.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Li A. 1664, Jones E. 1474.

Probabilities

Games over 18.553%
Games under 18.547%

Form

Li A.

  • 16.10Swiatek I.0:2
  • 15.10Tjen J.2:0
  • 14.10Sabalenka A.2:1
  • 13.10Osorio C.1:0
  • 07.10Svitolina E.0:2

Jones E.

  • 18.10Preston T.1:0
  • 17.10Watson H.2:0
  • 22.09Ma Y.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →