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Tennis: WTA, Osaka, hard · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Li A. — Krueger A.

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Li A.51%
Krueger A.49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Li A. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Li A. 51%, Krueger A. 49%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Li A. 1684, Krueger A. 1658.

Facts

  • Li A.: 3 wins in a row; Krueger A.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

Form

Li A.

  • 23.10Tagger L.2:1
  • 22.10Sonmez Z.2:0
  • 20.10Jones E.2:1
  • 16.10Swiatek I.0:2
  • 15.10Tjen J.2:0

Krueger A.

  • 23.10Gibson T.2:0
  • 21.10Tararudee L.2:0
  • 19.10Tjen J.2:0
  • 15.10Swiatek I.0:2
  • 14.10Tararudee L.2:1

Head to head

  • 03.10.2026Krueger A. — Li A.0:2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →