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Tennis: WTA, Osaka, hard · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3)

Li A. — Tagger L.

Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Li A.54%
Tagger L.46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Li A. to win (54%), came true.

Li A. are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Li A. 1676, Tagger L. 1629.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

Form

Li A.

  • 22.10Sonmez Z.2:0
  • 20.10Jones E.2:1
  • 16.10Swiatek I.0:2
  • 15.10Tjen J.2:0
  • 14.10Sabalenka A.2:1

Tagger L.

  • 21.10Valentova T.2:0
  • 19.10Samsonova L.2:0
  • 13.10Bartunkova N.1:2
  • 30.09Ruse G.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →