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Tennis: ATP, Almaty, hard · Wednesday, 21 October, (UTC+3)

Mannarino A. — Rublev A.

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Mannarino A.30%
Rublev A.70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Rublev A. to win (70%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 30 matches out of 100 on average.

Rublev A. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mannarino A. 1572, Rublev A. 1708.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

Form

Mannarino A.

  • 19.10Vukic A.2:1
  • 11.10Khachanov K.0:2
  • 09.10Cobolli F.2:1
  • 07.10Basilashvili N.1:0
  • 29.09Carreno-Busta P.0:2

Rublev A.

  • 09.10Sakamoto R.0:2
  • 04.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 03.10Safiullin R.2:1
  • 01.10Griekspoor T.2:1
  • 29.09Medvedev D.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →