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Tennis: WTA, Ningbo, hard · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3)

Mertens E. — Fernandez L.

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Mertens E.64%
Fernandez L.36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mertens E. to win (64%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.

Mertens E. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mertens E. 1731, Fernandez L. 1559.

Probabilities

Games over 21.549%
Games under 21.551%

Form

Mertens E.

  • 13.10Snigur D.0:2
  • 10.10Zheng Q.0:2
  • 09.10Swiatek I.2:0
  • 07.10Gauff C.2:0
  • 05.10Ostapenko J.2:1

Fernandez L.

  • 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2
  • 14.10Shi H.2:0
  • 12.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 03.10Rakhimova K.1:2
  • 27.09Gibson T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →