Mertens E. — Fernandez L.
Model prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mertens E. to win (64%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.
Mertens E. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.
Over 21.5 games — 49%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Mertens E. 1731, Fernandez L. 1559.
Probabilities
| Games over 21.5 | 49% |
| Games under 21.5 | 51% |
Form
- 15.10Ostapenko J.1:2
- 14.10Shi H.2:0
- 12.10Alexandrova E.2:1
- 03.10Rakhimova K.1:2
- 27.09Gibson T.2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →