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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Michelsen A. — Alcaraz C.

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Model prediction for 4 November

Michelsen A.17%
Alcaraz C.83%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Michelsen A. 1684, Alcaraz C. 2027.

Facts

  • Alcaraz C.: 5 wins in a row.
  • Days of rest before the match: Michelsen A. 1, Alcaraz C. 3.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Michelsen A. games
  • Alcaraz C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Michelsen A.

  • 03.11Lehecka J.2:1
  • 29.10Fils A.1:2
  • 27.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1
  • 23.10Fils A.0:2
  • 22.10Goffin D.2:0

Alcaraz C.

  • 01.11De Minaur A.2:0
  • 31.10Medvedev D.2:0
  • 30.10Paul T.2:0
  • 29.10Basilashvili N.2:0
  • 27.10Khachanov K.2:0

Head to head

  • 01.10.2026Alcaraz C. — Michelsen A.2:1

ATP on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →